One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. Brown is the only Democrat to win a . The Democrats held a 58-seat majority going into the election, with the Republicans at 38 seats and the rising Libertarians with 4 seats. 100% remote. [68][69], Former Senator Joe Donnelly is a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination in an effort to win back a seat that he lost in 2018. The party is at odds over its direction, especially after a disappointing 2022 midterm election cycle. next post . Still, Republicans are expected to contest the seat fiercely next year. Youre not my vector for an announcement.. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) announced this week that she would not run for reelection in 2024, confirming months of speculation that she will retire at the end of her term. [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Kyrsten Sinema > Arizona. The 2022 Midterm Elections. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. Itll also be Rosens first reelection bid, and the political environment next year is expected to be very different from the one she ran in during her 2018 campaign, when she ousted former Sen. Dean Heller (R). | Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) [73], Former state delegate Robin Ficker has filed paperwork to run for the Republican nomination. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Of course, Arizona Republicans have their own set of challenges to deal with. columns: 3; OnPolitics: Trump's GOP support craters, pollshows. So far, no Democrat has stepped up to the plate to replace Stabenow, though several are weighing campaigns, including Reps. Elissa Slotkin (Mich.) and Debbie Dingell (Mich.). Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. This . If he decides to retire from the Senate, it would almost certainly take the seat out of play for Democrats. Since then, Democrats have avoided the kind of Senate exodus the GOP faced this year when five of its members called it quits. [64][65], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy (2017-2023) is seen as a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination. While Fetterman won his race last year, Democrats and many Republicans say that Oz was a particularly weak candidate. Sherri Lynn Taylor, investor Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, Teresa Naranjo, and Aaron Arguijo, a U.S. Navy veteran, have all filed paperwork to run. See also Class III Senators (Up for Re-election in 2022) by State. (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File). Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, Joe Hogsett is also seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. Trump burns up 2024 primary polling with incredible numbers https . "[62] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again. [citation needed]. In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). Im definitely running., Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in an interview. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. I feel great. She's not up for reelection until 2024, and in politics, a lot can happen in two years. That's significant considering just one state (Wisconsin) voted the opposite way for the Senate in 2022 . On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. The third-ranking Democrat's departureleaves the GOP with a pickup opportunity in a swing state. [70][71], Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was re-elected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote. [101], John Love III, former Midland Mayor pro tempore, and candidate for Senate in 2020, has announced a bid for the Democratic nomination. Other high-profile Democrats, like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Gov. For months, political observers and strategists have been keeping their eyes and ears wide open, hoping to find out two big things about the 2024 Senate race in West Virginia. The 2024 United States Senate election in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. Right now in the Senate, I remain focused on the issues that matter most to Arizonans: getting inflation under control, creating good paying jobs, and addressing our water crisis, not campaign politics., Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) in a statement. Tester, a rare Democrat representing the deep-red red-leaning state . Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. And one Democrat whos up in 2024 declined to give even a hint of where hes leaning. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. The other swing-state Democratic senators up in 2024 Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) won a little more comfortably in 2018 but will be targets. The majority partywill seek to defend their incumbents in key races again Republican rivals as they look to maintain their slim majority in a presidentialelection year where President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term. And again, Biden will likely be on the ballot, as well, potentially making it harder for Brown to run a campaign independent of the White House. = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. This cycle Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) is retiring from his safe seat, a move that opens up both his job as the chambers longest-serving member and his Appropriations Committee gavel. He is running for reelection to a second term. The party is defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans, and its already facing the possibility that some of its incumbents could retire, leaving open competitive seats. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. ^ Excludes Nebraska seat with a special election in 2024, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. -moz-columns: 3; Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott, whose seats are up in 2024, have chosen to seek re-election rather than roll the dice on a White House run. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924. See also Class I Senators by Senator's Last Name. Others were more firm. .split-cols-c-list { Now, the news of the day is that Romney may be facing a primary challenger. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Mar. [63], Former Governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. (from left) Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nev., and Ron Johnson, R-Wis., are all facing . The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona have complicated their own re-election fortunes for 2024.. Why it matters: While Democrats have a credible chance to hold onto a narrow Senate majority this year, they're staring at a rough political map in two years, when both of those seats are . Am I undecided? The 2022 midterm elections in Pennsylvania didnt go as Republicans had hoped. Do Democrats need a past superstar to hold the White House in 2024? Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj His seat is one of the most vulnerable Democratic seats, as he is one of three Senators to hold a seat in a state that Donald Trump, a Republican, won in both of his elections for President of the United States. 2024 Senate Race. Email us. The congressional approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the members of the United States Congress. Casey has said that he has an excellent prognosis, and hes expected to move forward with his reelection campaign. U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock was one half of a shocking Democratic sweep during Georgia's epic Jan. 5 runoffs. She is retiring, and will not run for a fifth term. Stabenow announced on Jan. 5, she will not run for reelection in 2024. [5], The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Thats very gratifying, but its its a bit early to be deciding. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.), who chairs the Commerce Committee, said while theres plenty of time before 2024, her plan is to run again. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress.. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. SALEM Sen. Bill Hansell, R-Athena, announced Thursday, March 2, that he would not seek reelection in 2024, ending more than four decades in politics. I am all in. Democrat Dylan Fain has also filed paperwork to run. [38][90], Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was re-elected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote. [23] Hedge fund manager Eric Hovde, candidate for Senate in 2012, has publicly expressed interest in a second attempt at earning the Republican nomination. The U.S. Vice President, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 5050 Senate. Mitt Romney is up in 2024, will be 77 on election day, and doesn't really need donor support. There are no incumbents in this race. [112], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. Sasse resigned from the U.S. Senate on January 8, 2023, after being appointed president of the University of Florida.[1][2][3]. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Its certainly a more expansive map for us, said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), the caucus No. By the end of the election, the Libertarians were the big winners, ultimately winning a total of 8 seats to get to 12 total seats. Social worker Christina Khalil and mayor Joe Signorello have announced primary challenges against Memendez. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Come 2024, 33 seats will be up for re-election, with 23 of them . a tweet accompanied by a video announcing her candidacy. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Tech: Matt Latourelle Nathan Bingham Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. Allen Waters, an investment consultant, has announced a primary challenge against Whitehouse, but remarkably, he was the Republican nominee for the Senate in 2020 and the Republican nominee for Congress (RI-01) in 2022. Republicans up for reelection in 2024: Florida: Rick Scott . The best way for Democrats to survive 2024s lopsided Senate map is to get as many of their battle-tested incumbents as possible to run again, and on that front, there is a bright side: In-cycle members in Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan all plan to seek another term in 2024. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. West Virginia's @JoeManchinWV hasn't decided yet) 02 Mar 2023 14:30:09 With Democrats . Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. If both him and McCormick choose to run, then it would be one of two potential primary rematches of the cycle. But West Virginias conservative political makeup means that even a moderate like Manchin isnt safe. 4 leader. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Senate Democrats are preparing to play defense in 2024 as they look to preserve their narrow majority in the upper chamber. One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. On May 8, 2021, Warren confirmed that she plans to run for a third term. [111] In addition, Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin's current term will expire on January 2026, and the Virginia Constitution says that governors may not serve consecutive terms, so Youngkin will be unable to run for reelection. . McCarthy and Cheney, a former member of . Every one of my decisions are made basically after talking to family, and some of my close friends who have been advising me over the years. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a, Democratic total includes 3 Independents who. [72], Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. [74][75][76], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow hasalsosaid she would not be running in 2024. [40][39] -webkit-columns: 3; [37], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents," Everett writes in his headline, not mincing words. But as he nears his 80th birthday, he confronts a decision on whether to run in 2024 that has some Democrats uncomfortable. If O'Rourke wins the Democratic nomination, then this would be a rematch of 2018 between him and Cruz. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. After running four campaigns in two years, Sen. Raphael Warnock won't be on the ballot again until 2028 but at least 23 of his Democratic colleagues are up for . Republicans picked up four seats and Democrats picked up two seats. S en. [52] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle. Yet as the 2024 Senate . Republicans are playing defense in November: the party is in control of the Senate and White House, and will have to defend 23 seats compared to the 12 Senate Democrats who are up for reelection. Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. But the much bigger wheels in the wheeling and dealing, senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, aren't up for reelection in 2022 at all. Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election. The state of the Senate races. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) hasnt said whether shell seek reelection next year, but even if she does, shes certain to find herself in one of the closest-watched Senate contests in 2024. Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. State prosecutor Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds being seen as another potential candidate for the Republican nomination. [23], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. and Ohio (where Rob Portman is up for reelection . Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. This race's position on the rankings continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the 2022 cycle. Ditto Nevada, where first-term Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) is up for reelection, and the leading GOP candidate is former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who lost a race for governor in 2018. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. [24] However, due to his role in a worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, Scott is seen as vulnerable to a primary challenge. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) survived his last reelection bid in 2018, handing Democrats a key win in a former swing state that has lurched further and further to the right in recent years. Trump carried the state in 2020 by nearly 40 points, while Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R) pulled off an even bigger, 43-point win. Incumbent Sens. The Arizona Democrat renewed critics' anger with a speech saying she would never nix the filibuster . Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. Heinrich has announced his intent to run for a third term. He's up for re-election in 2024. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. Jim Pillen will select his replacement", https://nebraska.tv/news/local/lt-col-ret-john-glen-weaver-running-for-nebraskas-open-class-ii-us-senate-seat, https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/13/politics/senate-race-rankings-february-elections/index.html, https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-pennsylvania-arizona-nevada-new-york-6a8b17c560e545e4124e61fa14b3f4ad, https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/opinion-columns/victor-joecks/victor-joecks-a-2022-paradox-nv-gop-disappoints-and-outperforms-its-peers-2679618/, https://newjerseymonitor.com/2023/02/28/a-democratic-mayor-wants-to-run-against-sen-menendez-will-the-party-let-him/, https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/democrats-to-dr-oz-run-for-office-as-a-republican-in-new-jersey-please/, "New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand launches reelection bid", https://www.timesunion.com/state/article/zeldin-keeps-run-gillibrand-u-s-senate-table-17767024.php, "Kristin Hedger FEC Statement of Candidacy", "LaRose cruises to GOP nomination for secretary of state", https://www.abc27.com/pennsylvania-senate-race/dave-mccormick-considering-2024-pennsylvania-u-s-senate-race-report/amp/, "GOP sets its sights on Bob Casey's Senate seat", https://rollcall.com/2022/12/22/at-the-races-disarray-ok/, "Where does Dr. Oz and his reputation go from here? We try not to talk about it til it starts.. [99], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. Though he won't make a final determination on whether to run again until early next year, he told . Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. [102][103], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. (AP Photo/J. That makes for a tough cycle and it gets even harder if incumbents choose not to run. [82], United States Congressmen Matt Rosendale (MT-02) and Ryan Zinke (MT-01) have expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination, provoking a 2018 rematch for the Senate seat, and one of two potential primary rematches of the cycle. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. Senate following the election. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. U.S. Senate See also: United States Senate elections, 2024 See also: United States Senate elections, 2022. At the same time, Montana isnt exactly a swing state. Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022. One Republican, Mike Braun, and two Democrats, Debbie Stabenow and Dianne Feinstein, have announced an intention to retire. Even prominent Republicans who aren't up for reelection in the 2024 cycle, such as Sens. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. That panels chair, Robert Menendez of New Jersey, said its a long time from here to 2024, but I have every intention of running again. Manchin, Sanders and Tester also all lead committees. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. Gretchen Whitmer, have already ruled out Senate bids. As Democrats look to expand on their 2022 victories with Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. Arizona Rep. Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid, set to challenge Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, Democratic support for Biden in 2024 surges after midterms as Trump takes a hit, In search of the perfect president: What Americans say they want, from age to gender, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Two-term Republican John Barrasso was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. These progressives are trying to make it happen", "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. As a result, it is a possibility he may also seek the Republican nomination. | [7] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only 1 senator (Republican Susan Collins of Maine in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[8]. .split-cols-c-list { [86][87][88], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. . Am I undecided? Georgia runoff election: Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D) won re-election in the Georgia Senate runoff, defeating Republican challenger Herschel Walker and giving Democrats . I'm definitely running, said Jacky Rosen. Michigan Republicans are anxious about 2024 as the party recovers from a disappointing midterm and struggles to find a way to reset in a key battleground state. Other potential Republican challengers include businessman Sam Brown, a candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate in 2022, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. FILE - Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, right, speaks with reporters at a rally for Ohio gubernatorial candidate Nan Whaley in Cincinnati, Nov. 3, 2022. After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Cardin is currently deciding on a potential retirement. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. Three other remarkable potential candidates include Beto O'Rourke, 2018 Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Julin Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, former Mayor of San Antonio, and candidate for President in 2020, and Representative Joaquin Castro (TX-13). These 33 United States Senators Are Up for Re-election in 2024: See also Class I Senators by Senator's State. I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, 2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii, List of United States senators from Hawaii, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana, List of United States senators from Indiana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2024 United States Senate election in Maine, List of United States senators from Maine, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland, List of United States senators from Maryland, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts, List of United States senators from Massachusetts, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Massachusetts, 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan, List of United States senators from Michigan, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota, List of United States senators from Minnesota, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi, List of United States senators from Mississippi, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri, List of United States senators from Missouri, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2024 United States Senate election in Montana, List of United States senators from Montana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, List of United States senators from Nebraska, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada, List of United States senators from Nevada, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada, 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey, List of United States senators from New Jersey, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey.